Daily Update March 31

Back into the (minor) winning ways with a bit of shootout luck.
Can Winnipeg duplicate their unlikely win in Anaheim from earlier this season? The model thinks perhaps they can, and 0.35 odds are lovely too. Florida given at the same level is also great value, as would be the case for any team playing Brodeur, who, after years and years of being good enough to single-handedly win games, is now bad enough to single-handedly lose them. Risky today but not crazy.

Playoff Chances

Still six spots. The really bizarre thing about this particular bunch of teams fighting (effectively) for three or four spots is that they don't play against one another nearly as much as you might thing -- maybe a third of the remaining games are internal to this bunch.
Three spots; no movement. Minnesota still in the driver's seat, but I wouldn't be too sure; if they beat Winnipeg and Nashville (plausible) but lose to all of Los Angeles, Chicago, Pittsburgh, Boston, and St Louis (OOF, also plausible) then the chance that they fall out is pretty non-trivial.

Points after elimination

Team	Points	Games
Buffalo	3	6
Edmonton	2	2
Florida	0	1
Calgary	0	1

Islanders should drop out fairly soon, after that it'll be pretty much down to the wire for almost every other club.